Download agenda (.pdf, 88 kB)
2013 Warn-on-Forecast and High Impact Weather Workshop
Tuesday, 5 February through Thursday, 7 February 2013
National Weather Center, 120 David L. Boren Blvd, Norman, Oklahoma 73072
- Tues 5 Feb
- Wed 6 Feb
- Thurs 7 Feb
- Participants Photo
Tuesday, 5 February
Technical Workshop on Numerical Guidance to Support Warn-on-Forecast
8:00 am
Coffee
8:20 am
Welcome (Ken Howard and Bill Lapenta)
Session 1: Warn-on-Forecast: Vision and Customer Expectations
Moderator: Ken Howard
8:30 am
WoF vision, state of science and technical requirements (Wicker et al.) (.pdf, 25.7 MB)
9:20 am
SPC expectations for WoF and benefits/value to ops (Schneider, Weiss) (.pptx, 43.4 MB)
9:40 am
WFO expectations for WoF and benefits/value to ops (Andra) (.pptx, 2.6 MB)
10:00 am
Discussion period
10:30 am
Break
Session 2: Warn-on-Forecast: EMC Needs and Expectations
Moderator: Steve Goodman
10:50 am
EMC needs and expectations (Lapenta et al.) (.pptx, 3.5 MB)
11:30 am
GSD perspective of WoF and benefit/value (Benjamin et al.) (.pptx, 11.4 MB)
12:00 pm
Lunch at NWC or in town
Session 3: Warn-on-Forecast: CAPS Experiences and Challenges
Moderator: Lou Wicker
1:15 pm
CAPS technical experiences (Brewster) (.pptx, 23.4 MB) + may242220Z_ref.mov (3.6 MB)
CAPS experiences and challenges (Xue) (.pptx 42.5 MB)
- RT CAPS ensemble and radar DA
- RT CASA testbed analysis and forecasts
2:00 pm
Discussion period
Session 4: Warn-on-Forecast: New Observing Systems
Moderator: Bill Lapenta
2:30 pm
MRMS vision and plans (Howard) (.ppt, 53 MB)
2:50 pm
Radar requirements (Stensrud) (.pptx, 11.9 MB)
3:10 pm
GOES-R capabilities (Goodman) (.pptx, 55.9 MB)
3:30 pm
Break
Session 5: Discussion: WoF Vision and Requirements
Moderators: Steve Koch and Bill Lapenta
4:00 pm
Discussion
Possible topics:
- Current barriers to WoF implementation
- Computational and support requirements
- Approaches for initial WoF testing? (regional/nested/adaptive)
- Collaborations that could enhance R2O
5:15 pm
Meeting ends; adjourn
5:30 pm
Ice breaker in NWC atrium
Wednesday, 6 February
Warn-on-Forecast and High-Impact Weather Workshop
8:15 am
Coffee
8:25 am
Welcome and Introductions (Lou Wicker, Steve Goodman)
Session 1: Warn-on-Forecast Overview and Status Reports
Moderator: Steve Koch
8:30 am
Warn-on-Forecast Project Progress (Wicker) (.pdf, 13.3 MB)
9:00 am
CAPS Warn on Forecast efforts (Xue) (.pptx, 30.6 MB)
9:30 am
GSD WoF report (Dowell) (.ppt, 10.9 MB)
10:30 am
Break
10:45 am
Latest 3DVAR results (Gao) (.pptx 19 MB)
11:00 am
WoF Testing in the HWT (Smith) (.pptx,7.9 MB)
11:15 am
Development of an EnKF/hybrid data assimilation system for mesoscale application with the Rapid Refresh (Hu/Dowell) (.pptx, 2.5 MB)
11:30 am
GSI-EnKF hybrid DA assimilation using airborne radar in HWRF (Wang) (.pptx, 2.4 MB)
11:45 am
Latest results from assimilation of satellite data (Jones) (.pptx, 2.5 MB)
12:00 pm
Lunch
Session 2: GOES-R Status and Applications
Moderator: Chris Velden
1:30 pm
GOES-R overview and NWP opportunities (Goodman) (.pptx, 21 MB)
1:45 pm
ABI WRF-Chem simulations and 1-min super rapid scan imagery (Schmit) (.pptx 133.9 MB)
2:00 pm
Simulated ABI data and convective initiation (Lindsey/Grasso) (.pptx, 55.7 MB)
2:15 pm
Cloudy radiances (Otkin) (.ppt, 6.7 MB)
2:30 pm
High impact weather - the need for radiance assimilation over land (Li) (.pptx, 109.8 MB)
2:45 pm
Hyperspectral soundings and the pre-storm environment (Weygandt/Lin) (.ppt, 8.6 MB)
3:00 pm
3:15 pm
Break
3:45 pm
Lightning threat forecasts (McCaul) (.ppt, 588 kB)
4:00 pm
Lightning data assimilation (Fierro) (.ppt, 48 MB)
4:15 pm
Lightning data assimilation (Allen) (.pptx, 1.6 MB)
4:30 pm
Discussion: Satellite and radar data DA applications for convective forecasts
5:00 pm
Adjourn for day
Thursday, 7 February, Morning
Technical Workshop on Numerical Guidance to Support Warn-on-Forecast (cont.)
8:30 am
Coffee
9:00 am
Weather threat continuum forecasting (Rothfusz) (.pptx, 19.2 MB)
9:30 am
Panel Discussion—"WoF and Decision Support Services"
Moderator: Kevin Kelleher
Focus: How can WoF help NWS as it transitions to a decision support paradigm?
Panelists:
- D. Andra
- R. Schneider
- S. Weiss
- L. Rothfusz
- T. Smith
- B. Bunting
10:30 am
Break
11:00 am
Wrap-up Discussion (Wicker, Goodman)
12:00 pm
End of Warn-on-Forecast and High-Impact Weather Workshop
12:00 pm
Lunch
Thursday, 7 February, Afternoon
Technical Workshop on Numerical Guidance to Support Warn-on-Forecast Revisited
1:30 pm
Discussion (Stensrud)
Topic: How can the workshop lead to changes or new perspectives with respect to needs, opportunities, or plans for development of an initial WoF capability.
3:00 pm
Adjourn
Participants from the 2013 Technical Workshop to support WoF Forecast and the Warn-on-Forecast/High Impact Weather Workshop